Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 1, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1949
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 8 Tomorrow
WN 1949 · BNA → AUS
departs 9:00 PM CT · arrives 11:17 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 7:00 PM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/8
Mon 11/9 31%
Thu 11/12 30%
Fri 11/13 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
40%
chance · ±3 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
40%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 44% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at AUS that day
↑
Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
AUS (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.50 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.