Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 1, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2169
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 8
WN 2169 · BWI → CLE
departs 6:49 PM ET · arrives 8:11 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 60%
Sun 11/8
Mon 11/9 29%
Tue 11/10 31%
Wed 11/11 37%
Thu 11/12 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
49%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed – in 24h
–
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 50% · changed – in 24h
–
49%
Yes 49%
No 51%
Arrive at CLE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CLE?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
6pm departures from BWI are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI
↓
CLE usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
CLE (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 9,567 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.