Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 1, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2198
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 8 Tomorrow
WN 2198 · IND → AUS
departs 9:39 PM ET · arrives 11:18 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/8
Mon 11/9 38%
Thu 11/12 36%
Fri 11/13 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±0 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave IND more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at AUS that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IND
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
IND (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
AUS (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.59 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.