WN 2612 · LGB → SJC

departs 7:41 PM PT · arrives 9:05 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?

29% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SJC?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into SJC at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGB

↓ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

Weather at each end

LGB (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SJC (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,333 ft Visibility6.9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2612 · LGB → SJC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SJC?