Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 1, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 274
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 8 Tomorrow
WN 274 · RSW → MDW
departs 8:59 PM ET · arrives 10:57 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 5:00 AM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/8
Mon 11/9 20%
Tue 11/10 30%
Thu 11/12 28%
Fri 11/13 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±2 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at MDW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MDW?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into MDW at that hour are often late
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW
Weather at each end
RSW (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MDW (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.