Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 1, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2774
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 8 Tomorrow
WN 2774 · MCO → FLL
departs 8:40 PM ET · arrives 9:53 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 51%
Sun 11/8
Mon 11/9 31%
Thu 11/12 44%
Fri 11/13 45%
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 44% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
8pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
FLL (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.