Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 1, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2825
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 8 Tomorrow
WN 2825 · BNA → PHL
departs 9:06 PM CT · arrives 12:17 AM ET
Forecast issued Sat 7:00 PM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/8
Mon 11/9 20%
Tue 11/10 32%
Wed 11/11 35%
Thu 11/12 37%
Fri 11/13 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±2 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at PHL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHL?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↑
9pm departures from BNA are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PHL (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.