Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 1, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2904
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 8 Tomorrow
WN 2904 · SJC → AUS
departs 6:58 PM PT · arrives 12:24 AM CT
Forecast issued Sat 7:00 PM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/8
Mon 11/9 39%
Thu 11/12 38%
Fri 11/13 37%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±4 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
50%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave SJC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 51% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at AUS that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at SJC that day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SJC (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
AUS (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.50 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.