Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 1, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3151
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 8 Tomorrow
WN 3151 · MSY → DAL
departs 9:09 PM CT · arrives 10:44 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 7:00 PM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Sun 11/8
Mon 11/9 27%
Tue 11/10 30%
Wed 11/11 22%
Thu 11/12 38%
Fri 11/13 39%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±3 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 44% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into DAL at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSY
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL
Weather at each end
MSY (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DAL (destination)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.