Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 1, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3450
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 8 Tomorrow
WN 3450 · PHX → LGB
departs 7:49 PM MT · arrives 8:16 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 11:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/8
Mon 11/9 27%
Tue 11/10 19%
Wed 11/11 20%
Thu 11/12 36%
Fri 11/13 38%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGB more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±6 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 54% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at LGB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LGB?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
7pm departures from PHX are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGB
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
LGB (destination)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.