Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 1, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 375
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 8
WN 375 · AUS → MCO
departs 6:18 PM CT · arrives 9:56 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 50%
Sun 11/8
Mon 11/9 41%
Thu 11/12 44%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
45%
chance · ±6 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
45%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 36% · changed – in 24h
–
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 45% · changed – in 24h
–
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
6pm departures from AUS are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.13 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.