Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 1, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3773
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 8
WN 3773 · SAT → DEN
departs 6:41 PM CT · arrives 8:08 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 8:00 AM ET · 60h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 44%
Sun 11/8
Mon 11/9 44%
Tue 11/10 22%
Wed 11/11 22%
Thu 11/12 37%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed – in 24h
–
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave SAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed – in 24h
–
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at SAT that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
↓
DEN usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SAT (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.86 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.