Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 1, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4377
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 8
WN 4377 · ABQ → AUS
departs 5:27 PM MT · arrives 8:19 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 60h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 44%
Sun 11/8
Mon 11/9 28%
Tue 11/10 20%
Wed 11/11 19%
Thu 11/12 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed – in 24h
–
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 45% · changed – in 24h
–
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at AUS that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ABQ
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ABQ (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
AUS (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.36 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.