Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 1, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4579
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 8 Tomorrow
WN 4579 · AUS → LBB
departs 7:49 PM CT · arrives 9:13 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 4:00 AM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/8
Mon 11/9 46%
Thu 11/12 40%
Fri 11/13 44%
Odds over time
Arrive at LBB more than 15 minutes late?
51%
chance · ±6 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
51%
Leave 15+ late
60%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LBB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Arrive at LBB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LBB?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
26%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at AUS that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LBB
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.68 in
LBB (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.