Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 1, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 503
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 8 Tomorrow
WN 503 · OAK → LGB
departs 5:41 PM PT · arrives 7:13 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 14%
Sun 11/8
Mon 11/9 18%
Tue 11/10 10%
Wed 11/11 11%
Thu 11/12 25%
Fri 11/13 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGB more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave OAK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at LGB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LGB?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into LGB at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at OAK
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGB
Weather at each end
OAK (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
LGB (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.