Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 3001 LANDED 10:26 AM ET, ~13 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, November 9 Today

9K 3001 · MVY → BOS

took off 9:51 AM ET · landed 10:26 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Other factors

↑ BOS is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

MVY (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BOS (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 3001 · MVY → BOS

Odds over time