Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 71 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, November 9 Today

9K 71 · BOS → AUG

departs 1:15 PM ET · arrives 2:08 PM ET

Your aircraft is P212 (P212), coming in as 9K 60 from RUT: still at RUT, due off about 11:43 AM ET, 32 min before departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).

Forecast issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at AUG more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ BOS is busy at that time

↑ 1pm departures from BOS are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

↓ AUG usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AUG (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 71 · BOS → AUG

Odds over time