Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1367 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, November 9

AA 1367 · DFW → BDL

departs 12:41 PM CT · arrives 5:28 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 11:00 PM ET · 39h before departure

Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±2 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BDL?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↑ 12pm departures from DFW are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

BDL (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling4,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1367 · DFW → BDL

Odds over time

How late will it get to BDL?