Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2462SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 2462 · AUS → JFK
departs 11:35 AM CT · arrives 4:25 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 3:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
19%chance · ±5 pts−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.