Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 2627 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, November 9 Tomorrow

AS 2627 · IAH → SBD

departs 12:53 AM CT · arrives 1:57 AM PT

Your aircraft is N5869K (A333), coming in as AS 2621 from CVG: landed 4:18 PM CT.

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at SBD more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

No breakdown for this forecast yet.

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility6.33333 mi Precipnone

SBD (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 2627 · IAH → SBD

Odds over time