Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 2633 LANDED 2:19 AM CT, ~11 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, November 9 Today

AS 2633 · CVG → IAH

took off 1:16 AM ET · landed 2:19 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

CVG (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling3,833 ft Visibility6.33333 mi Precip0.13 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 2633 · CVG → IAH

Odds over time