C5 4256 · BHM → IAH

departs 6:42 PM CT · arrives 8:39 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 6pm departures from BHM are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BHM (origin) Gusts3 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts3 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

C5 4256 · BHM → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?