C5 4827 · AMA → IAH

departs 11:54 AM CT · arrives 1:40 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at AMA

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ 11am departures from AMA are usually not late

Weather at each end

AMA (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility9.33333 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

C5 4827 · AMA → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?