DL 167 · SEA → HND

took off 11:46 AM PT · expected to land 2:26 PM JST (scheduled 11:31 AM PT → 3:12 PM JST)

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at HND more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to HND?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from SEA are often late

↑ SEA is busy at that time

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ HND usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

HND (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 167 · SEA → HND

Odds over time

How late will it get to HND?