DL 1719 · JFK → SEA

took off 11:27 AM ET · expected to land 2:08 PM PT (scheduled 11:30 AM ET → 2:50 PM PT)

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SEA?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at SEA that day

↑ 11am departures from JFK are often late

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↓ Other factors

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

JFK (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.27 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1719 · JFK → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?