Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1846
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 9 Today
DL 1846 · EWR → ATL
departs 11:56 AM ET · arrives 2:15 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · 8h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Tue 11/10 10%
Wed 11/11 9%
Thu 11/12 32%
Fri 11/13 25%
Sat 11/14 20%
Sun 11/15 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±0 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↑
EWR is busy at that time
↑
11am departures from EWR are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
EWR (origin)
Gusts 31 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
ATL (destination)
Gusts 13 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.