DL 2012 · TPA → BOS

took off 11:28 AM ET · landed 2:04 PM ET (scheduled 11:05 AM ET → 2:03 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to BOS?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↑ DL's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

TPA (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BOS (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2012 · TPA → BOS

Odds over time

How late did it get to BOS?