Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2458 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, November 9 Today

DL 2458 · DTW → SAT

departs 11:52 AM ET · arrives 2:04 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at SAT that day

↑ SAT is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAT (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.51 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2458 · DTW → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?