Schedule: FAA flight plans.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2533 IN THE AIR (OFF 10:45 AM PT, ETA 1:12 PM PT)
Today

DL 2533 · SEA → SAN

took off 10:45 AM PT · expected to land 1:12 PM PT (scheduled 9:45 AM PT → 12:39 PM PT)
Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Odds over time

Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
99% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 6.5d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SAN?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    1%
  2. 15–30 min late
    22%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    75%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.