Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3082
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 9 Today
DL 3082 · IAD → DTW
departs 12:15 PM ET · arrives 1:47 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · 3h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Tue 11/10 10%
Wed 11/11 7%
Thu 11/12 17%
Fri 11/13 17%
Sat 11/14 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
12%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
12%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Leave IAD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
12pm departures from IAD are often late
↑
DL's recent on-time record
↑
IAD is busy at that time
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW
Weather at each end
IAD (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DTW (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.