G4 1722 · DSM → LAS

departs 8:00 PM CT · arrives 9:08 PM PT

Your aircraft is N321NV (A319), coming in as G4 11 from LAS: landed 7:09 PM CT.

Forecast issued Mon 7:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

Weather at each end

DSM (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

LAS (destination) Gusts2 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 1722 · DSM → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?