G4 401 · CVG → PIE

took off 2:52 PM ET · landed 4:43 PM ET (scheduled 2:40 PM ET → 5:03 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to PIE?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into PIE at that hour are often late

↑ 2pm departures from CVG are often late

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ CVG usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

CVG (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PIE (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 401 · CVG → PIE

Odds over time

How late did it get to PIE?