G7 4511 · CHA → EWR

took off 6:48 PM ET · landed 8:37 PM ET (scheduled 6:35 PM ET → 8:45 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 7:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to EWR?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CHA (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

EWR (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G7 4511 · CHA → EWR

Odds over time

How late did it get to EWR?