Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

KENYA AIRWAYS · FLIGHT KQ 2 LANDED 7:13 AM ET, ~21 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, November 9 Today

KQ 2 · NBO → JFK

took off 12:43 AM EAT · landed 7:13 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · 16h after departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±0 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into JFK at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ JFK is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at NBO

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

NBO (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

JFK (destination) Gusts28 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

KQ 2 · NBO → JFK

Odds over time