MQ 3899 · PHX → STS

took off 8:06 AM MT · landed 9:36 AM PT (scheduled 6:18 AM MT → 7:44 AM PT)

Forecast issued Mon 7:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at STS more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to STS?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ STS is prone to delays

↑ PHX is busy at that time

↑ Arrivals into STS at that hour are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from PHX are usually not late

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

STS (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3899 · PHX → STS

Odds over time

How late did it get to STS?