Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3011
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 9
OO 3011 · GEG → SFO
departs 1:04 PM PT · arrives 3:19 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 47%
Sun 11/8 25%
Mon 11/9
Tue 11/10 22%
Wed 11/11 32%
Thu 11/12 31%
Fri 11/13 47%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±9 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave GEG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 26% of the time recently
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
↓
GEG usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
GEG (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 767 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.04 in
SFO (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.