Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3038
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 9
OO 3038 · PDX → SEA
departs 12:02 PM PT · arrives 1:06 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 39%
Sun 11/8 17%
Mon 11/9
Tue 11/10 18%
Wed 11/11 20%
Thu 11/12 22%
Fri 11/13 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave PDX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
0.4 in of rain forecast at PDX that day
↑
SEA is busy at that time
↓
PDX usually runs smoothly
↓
12pm departures from PDX are usually not late
Weather at each end
PDX (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,100 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.35 in
SEA (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.19 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.