Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3188
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 9
OO 3188 · YYJ → SEA
departs 1:15 PM MST · arrives 1:12 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 45%
Sun 11/8 25%
Mon 11/9
Tue 11/10 20%
Wed 11/11 21%
Thu 11/12 21%
Fri 11/13 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave YYJ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
This route's recent record
↑
Other factors
↓
12pm departures from YYJ are usually not late
↓
YYJ usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
YYJ (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 1,433 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.10 in
SEA (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.19 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.