Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3492
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 9 Tomorrow
OO 3492 · SFO → SNA
departs 2:39 PM PT · arrives 4:19 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 42%
Mon 11/9
Tue 11/10 18%
Wed 11/11 25%
Thu 11/12 29%
Fri 11/13 43%
Sat 11/14 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±3 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at SNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SNA?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
2pm departures from SFO are often late
↑
This flight has been late 29% of the time recently
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↓
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.2 mi forecast at SFO that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SNA
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.2 mi Precip none
SNA (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.