Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3913
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 9
OO 3913 · MFR → SEA
departs 12:14 PM PT · arrives 1:48 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 36%
Sun 11/8 16%
Mon 11/9
Tue 11/10 14%
Wed 11/11 17%
Thu 11/12 20%
Fri 11/13 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave MFR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0 mi forecast at MFR that day
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
SEA is busy at that time
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
SEA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MFR (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 0 mi Precip 0.06 in
SEA (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.19 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.