Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3992
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 9
OO 3992 · PSC → SEA
departs 12:32 PM PT · arrives 1:50 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 7:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Sun 11/8 13%
Mon 11/9
Tue 11/10 13%
Wed 11/11 15%
Thu 11/12 14%
Fri 11/13 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±1 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave PSC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at SEA that day
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
SEA is busy at that time
↓
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PSC
Weather at each end
PSC (origin)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 3,800 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip none
SEA (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.26 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.