OO 4027 · IND → AUS

departs 6:30 PM ET · arrives 8:14 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at AUS that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IND

↓ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

Weather at each end

IND (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.11 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4027 · IND → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?