Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4053
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 9 Tomorrow
OO 4053 · AUS → MFE
departs 5:05 PM CT · arrives 6:33 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Mon 11/9
Tue 11/10 19%
Wed 11/11 21%
Thu 11/12 21%
Fri 11/13 17%
Sat 11/14 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at MFE more than 15 minutes late?
32%
chance · ±1 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
32%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MFE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at MFE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MFE?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
5pm departures from AUS are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 1.2 in of rain forecast at MFE that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
MFE usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.17 in
MFE (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 1.24 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.