Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4201
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 9 Tomorrow
OO 4201 · AUS → GJT
departs 4:31 PM CT · arrives 6:05 PM MT
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at GJT more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±2 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at GJT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at GJT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to GJT?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
4pm departures from AUS are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at AUS that day
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at GJT
↓
GJT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.17 in
GJT (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.