Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4655
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 9 Tomorrow
OO 4655 · ACV → SFO
departs 2:05 PM PT · arrives 3:22 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 27%
Mon 11/9
Tue 11/10 31%
Wed 11/11 39%
Thu 11/12 43%
Fri 11/13 58%
Sat 11/14 45%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±3 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
5%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave ACV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 44% of the time recently
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at ACV that day
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ACV (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.15 in
SFO (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.