Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4758
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 9 Tomorrow
OO 4758 · MRY → SFO
departs 2:27 PM PT · arrives 3:20 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 44%
Mon 11/9
Tue 11/10 27%
Wed 11/11 39%
Thu 11/12 41%
Fri 11/13 57%
Sat 11/14 43%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±4 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave MRY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 37% of the time recently
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MRY
Weather at each end
MRY (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 8,267 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SFO (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.