Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4920
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 9
OO 4920 · ORD → MKE
departs 1:31 PM CT · arrives 2:21 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 70h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 42%
Sat 11/7 30%
Sun 11/8 22%
Mon 11/9
Tue 11/10 36%
Wed 11/11 30%
Thu 11/12 33%
Odds over time
Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±1 pts
−9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at MKE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MKE?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↑
1pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MKE (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.