Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4923
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 9
OO 4923 · FLG → PHX
departs 12:39 PM MT · arrives 1:45 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 70h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Sat 11/7 16%
Sun 11/8 18%
Mon 11/9
Tue 11/10 16%
Wed 11/11 15%
Thu 11/12 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±1 pts
−19 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −19 pts in 24h
−19 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave FLG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
PHX is prone to delays
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
12pm departures from FLG are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FLG
Weather at each end
FLG (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PHX (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.