Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4932 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, November 9 Tomorrow

OO 4932 · ORD → RIC

departs 4:27 PM CT · arrives 7:34 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 30h before departure

Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±6 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RIC?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↑ 4pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Arrivals into RIC at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RIC

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

RIC (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4932 · ORD → RIC

Odds over time

How late will it get to RIC?