Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4975
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 9 Tomorrow
OO 4975 · DFW → SJT
departs 5:02 PM CT · arrives 6:18 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 32%
Mon 11/9
Tue 11/10 11%
Wed 11/11 20%
Thu 11/12 19%
Fri 11/13 21%
Sat 11/14 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJT more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±2 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at SJT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SJT?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi forecast at SJT that day
↑
5pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW
↓
SJT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 3,833 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SJT (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.27 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.